Hyliion (HYLN) Looks Very Attractive at the Current Price Levels but the Stock Is Not Out of the Woods Yet

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Hyliion (NYSE:HYLN), the company that manufactures electrified powertrains and hybrid suspension systems for Class 8 trucks, has seen its stock price fall substantially since the end of September when it sought to close its merger agreement with the SPAC, Tortoise Acquisition. As an illustration, since the 29th of September, Hyliion shares have registered a loss of over 60 percent relative to the current share price of $21.15 (as of 09:59 a.m. EDT). However, signs are emerging now that suggest the current downturn may be at an end.

As a refresher, the proposed merger between Hyliion and Tortoise Acquisition was announced back in June. However, the closure of this merger deal was marked by dramatic upheaval. As an illustration, during a special meeting of the Tortoise Acquisition shareholders, convened on the 28th of September to formally approve the business combination, all proposals except the third one – the Director Classification Charter Proposal – were approved. Accordingly, the meeting was reconvened on the 30th of September where the pertinent proposal was again rejected. Nonetheless, as the business combination proposal had already been approved by the shareholders of Hyliion and Tortoise Acquisition, the deal formally closed on the 1st of October, allowing the shares of the combined company to debut on the NYSE under a new ticker symbol – HYLN.

Hyliion Q3 2020 Earnings – the Pre-Revenue Company Reports its First Earnings After Going Public

Thereafter, on the 23rd of October, Hyliion filed a Form S-1 with the U.S. SEC to register the following securities for issuance:

  • Resale of up to 132,637,517 (132.63 million) shares of common stock – these are the shares awarded to the company’s PIPE investors as well as principal securityholders and include 7.535 million shares that may be issued upon the exercise of an equal number of private warrants along with 20,000 shares that may be issued upon the exercise of 20,000 public warrants. It should be noted that Hyliion will not receive any proceeds from the resale of shares or warrants that are held by these “selling securityholders”.
  • Up to 19,185,637 (19.18 million) Shares of common stock issuable upon exercise of warrants – these include 6.66 million shares that are issuable upon the exercise of an equal number of private placement warrants, 875,000 shares issuable upon the exercise of an equal number of forward purchase warrants, and 11.65 million shares that are issuable upon the exercise of an equal number of public warrants. Hyliion expects to receive over $220 million in proceeds from the cash exercise of these warrants.
  • Up to 7,555,183 (7.555 million) warrants – these include 7.535 million private warrants and 20,000 public warrants

A detailed breakdown of the beneficial ownership of “selling securityholders” is provided on pages 107 through 109 of the prospectus.

It should be noted that this filing is still preliminary and that the securities registered through this prospectus can’t be sold on the stock exchange without a “Declaration of Effectiveness” by the SEC. This declaration is provided via an EFFECT Filing. Therefore, while these securities have not been issued/liquidated as yet, the specter of dilution has served as a potent headwind for Hyliion shares.

Even when the registration of these securities becomes effective, some – such as private warrants – may be barred from liquidation due to the attendant lock-up period. However, PIPE shares may be sold by “selling securityholders” as soon as the SEC declares the pertinent filing effective. It should be noted though that these investors are usually long-term holders rather than short-term speculators. Consequently, while some liquidation may occur, sustained selling pressure is unlikely to materialize in Hyliion shares.

Moving ahead, from a technical perspective, Hyliion stock appears to be very attractively situated. As an illustration, the stock is approaching a critical support level that extends from $17.97 to $19.90. Moreover, Hyliion’s STOCH (9,6) and Williams %R are both in oversold territory while the 5-period Moving Average is a Buy currently:

Hyliion (HYLN) Wins an Order of 250 Hypertruck ERX Vehicles as Well as Discounted RNG Facility for Its Customers From American Natural Gas

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When the technical metrics are this skewed to the downside, a substantial bounce is usually the path of least resistance.

Disclaimer:

The author does not have any exposure to Hyliion and readers should not consider this post as investment advice

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