NVIDIA Becomes Gloomy About Its AI Business Prospects in China; Team Green Will No Longer Include the Region in Revenue Forecasts If US Export Controls Remain

Muhammad Zuhair
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang WIth a Chinese Flag Behind
Image Credits: WCCFtech

NVIDIA's CEO is no longer optimistic about the company's future in China, as Jensen has revealed that the firm will not include Beijing in its revenue forecasts.

NVIDIA's Position in China is a Vulnerable One, As Jensen Believes US Export Controls Are Undermining the Firm's Influence

With the growing influence of US export controls, NVIDIA's business in China hasn't been flourishing much compared to the rest of the world. Not only is the firm barred from selling its high-end chips to the region, but even the cut-down solutions, such as the H20 AI accelerator, are no longer available. With NVIDIA's prospects in China getting trimmed down, the firm no longer sees the country as a place for "consistent" business, which is why CEO Jensen Huang has revealed that the firm won't include China in revenue forecasts if US export controls don't get lifted.

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I've told all of our investors and shareholders that, going forward, our forecasts will not include the China market.

- Reuters

Jensen didn't stop there; he also criticized the US export controls and their effectiveness, claiming that the policies failed to reach their goals. Previously, NVIDIA's CEO had called the AI Diffusion rule nonsensical, and when the H20 AI restriction came into place, Jensen was also against it. It seems like when it comes to China, NVIDIA wants complete autonomy in the market, simply because the region has contributed so much to the company's revenue in the past, that without it, the firm would likely need to write off billions in profits, which they have already done.

NVIDIA's AI Chip Renting Services In China Are Much Cheaper Compared To The US, For As Little As $6/Hr 1

NVIDIA's stance towards US restrictions on China is simple. If American tech isn't in the region, China would ultimately develop alternatives that could later on challenge the US's global AI dominance, but at the same time, if Beijing gets the compute power it needs, it would speed up the country's AI progress much faster. If China could develop models like the DeepSeek R1 without "supposedly" having cutting-edge AI chips, then the possibility of creating something much more superior increases even further if there are no US restrictions.

For now, NVIDIA doesn't seem to be getting much regulatory relaxation by the Trump administration, given that after the recent Geneva deal, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick clearly stated that high-end chips won't be given to China. It would be interesting to see how the prospects of NVIDIA-China unfold moving into the future.

Muhammad Zuhair Photo

About the author: Muhammad Zuhair is a hardware and technology reporter for Wccftech, specializing in the semiconductor industry and the complex interplay between technology, manufacturing, and geopolitics. His coverage focuses on the corporate strategies and technological roadmaps of industry giants like TSMC, NVIDIA, Samsung, and Intel. Zuhair's expertise lies in deconstructing complex topics such as fabrication nodes (e.g., 2nm process), the economic impact of policies like the CHIPS Act, and the strategic development of AI infrastructure from NVIDIA, AMD and Intel.

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