80%
Probable
It's been almost six years since the announcement of State of Decay 3, but the long wait might soon pay off. In April, developer Undead Labs opened registrations for a limited Alpha test that took place in May; now, with three days left before the Xbox Games Showcase 2026, Windows Central's Jez Corden shared that the game will not only be featured there but will also showcase its newfound triple-A feel.
It's almost certain we'll see State of Decay 3 at the showcase too, given that it's already in private Alpha testing with a small subset of the community alongside some YouTubers. And from what I've heard … it sounds like Undead Labs really, really nailed the "AAA" feel that was absent from State of Decay 2. I'm particularly excited for this one.
One of the main shortcomings of the zombie-themed action/adventure survival series has always been its lack of polish. It was understandable with the first game, since it was originally meant as an Xbox Live Arcade title and the studio was still indie, even though Microsoft chose to publish the game. The sequel, however, was less excusable, though still very fun to play even at launch, as I noted in my review back then. State of Decay 3 will be the first entry developed wholly under Microsoft's umbrella; the expectations are much higher. If they can truly deliver on that front, the game could do very well.
By the way, Corden also said that this year's Xbox Games Showcase has an "absolute mountain of content", adding that it could eventually be remembered as one of the best Xbox shows in years. As for what else might be shown, inXile's Clockwork Revolution is almost a certainty while Arkane's Blade game is a possibility, as is the long-rumored Fallout 3 remake.
The Xbox Games Showcase airs on Sunday, June 7 at 10 AM Pacific Time / 1 PM Eastern Time / 7 PM CEST.
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