- 0-20%: Unlikely - Lacks credible sources
- 21-40%: Questionable - Some concerns remain
- 41-60%: Plausible - Reasonable evidence
- 61-80%: Probable - Strong evidence
- 81-100%: Highly Likely - Multiple reliable sources
65%
Probable
NVIDIA is reportedly reducing production of its RTX 50 series GPUs, as the company is now factoring in a long-term memory supply issue and wants to ensure a stable supply chain.
NVIDIA Doesn't Look to Bump Up GPU Prices In the Near Term, But Will Significantly Reduce RTX 50 Series Production
Memory shortages have affected almost every PC consumer segment, and it appears that GPUs are next in line to experience a wave of price hikes. Now, the Chinese Board Channel forums, which are known for disclosing early information about supply chain elements, claim that NVIDIA is set to reduce the supply of its RTX 50 series GPUs moving into 2026. While the forum mentions the rumors as 'unconfirmed', we do know that the general-purpose DRAM supply is under massive constraint, which ultimately forces companies like NVIDIA to implement price hikes or reduce inventory.
Prior reports have suggested that AMD plans to increase GPU prices based on the onboard VRAM. It appears that NVIDIA won't raise prices for now, but rather reduce the RTX 50 series supply to ensure the supply chain remains stable in the short term. It is claimed that Blackwell gaming GPUs could see a 40% reduction in supply moving into Q1 2026, which means that the retail market could see RTX 50 SKUs almost vanish, posing a troublesome situation for gamers looking to capitalize on better GPU prices.
It is also important to note that NVIDIA won't release a new generation of GPUs in 2026; rather, we'll see the launch of the RTX 50 SUPER lineup, a mere refresh of the current-gen options, so it won't be wrong to say that the RTX 50 series would still have been in massive demand next year. However, courtesy of the ongoing memory supercycle, NVIDIA and AIB partners are reportedly forced to reduce production, which means that upgrading GPUs next year could be almost impossible, given the reaction of the RAM supply to DRAM shortages.
With each day, we see disappointing reports surfacing around the PCMR, and the DRAM shortages have been no more than a 'nightmare' for gamers looking to build new PCs or even upgrade their existing configurations. No one can provide an exact estimate of when the situation could improve, but for now, it is deteriorating with each passing day.
About the author: Muhammad Zuhair is a hardware and technology reporter for Wccftech, specializing in the semiconductor industry and the complex interplay between technology, manufacturing, and geopolitics. His coverage focuses on the corporate strategies and technological roadmaps of industry giants like TSMC, NVIDIA, Samsung, and Intel. Zuhair's expertise lies in deconstructing complex topics such as fabrication nodes (e.g., 2nm process), the economic impact of policies like the CHIPS Act, and the strategic development of AI infrastructure from NVIDIA, AMD and Intel.
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