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Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR), an AI-powered Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) provider that allows companies and government agencies to gather and analyze reams of raw data, is indicated to move higher today on formally clinching an agreement with NATO, unleashing positive ramifications for the wider American defense industry.
For the benefit of those who might not be aware, Palantir's revenue grew by 50 percent between 2022 and 2024, yet its headcount increased by only 3 percent. For 2025, the company expects its revenue to grow by 31 percent year-over-year, while maintaining an enviable operating margin of 45 percent.
What's more, Palantir managed to ink as many as ten different commercial partnerships over the last month or so, including a very unusual partnership with its chief rival Databricks.
This brings us to the crux of the matter. William Blair analyst Louie DiPalma has now reiterated his 'Market Perform' rating for Palantir shares, while noting with evident positivity the company's recent agreement with NATO:
"Palantir shares will likely trend higher today after NATO announced that it finalized an agreement on March 25 to use Palantir’s Maven Smart System (MSS) AI-enabled warfighting system."
The analyst believes this agreement augurs well for the continuing association between the US defense sector and the European stakeholders, who are "likely [to] remain large buyers of U.S. systems with increasing defense budgets."
As a refresher, the MSS is Palantir’s "battlefield situational awareness platform" that aggregates and analyzes data from multiple sources to present a holistic picture of the battleground. DiPalma takes pains to highlight the fact that the procurement of the MSS was "one of the fastest in NATO’s history, reflecting the critical need to acquire the software."
Do note that Palantir has already licensed the MSS to the US Combatant Commands as well as the US Army, Navy, and Air Force. What's more, Palantir remains the favored solutions provider - in partnership with L3Harris and Anduril - for powering the US Army's Next-Generation Command and Control (NGC2) platform.
DiPalma does note with concern Palantir's "high beta correlation with the Nasdaq-100," which would continue to pressure the stock in the near-term if the index trends lower:
"If the Nasdaq-100 continues to trend lower in the near term, Palantir shares will likely also decline, potentially by a 3-times factor of the market due to its high bet."
Do note that Palantir shares are up over 7 percent today. So far this year, the high-momentum stock is up a whopping 26 percent.
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