Fans' sentiment about yesterday's Nintendo Direct may have been quite positive, but the stock market disagrees. Today, the stock fell as much as 8% before climbing back a bit to -6.75%, and analysts are blaming it on the lineup's lack of heavy hitters, like a new Super Mario game. According to Reuters, Jefferies analyst Atul Goyal wrote in a client note:
The lack of a mainline 3D Mario for this year's holiday shopping season is commercially meaningful. The Switch 2 launched last June with titles including Mario Kart World and, later, Donkey Kong Bananza. Year 2 now enters the holiday window without a franchise title of comparable pull.
Now, Nintendo's stock taking heavy hits is nothing new. It declined for five consecutive months until early May, as investors wanted a price hike for the Nintendo Switch 2. Then, when that arrived a few days later, the stock crashed by 12% amid a relatively bleak forecast for fiscal year 2027. Of course, the concerns of investors (maximizing profits) are very different from those of consumers (enjoying a healthy lineup of games).
On that count, the June 2026 Nintendo Direct absolutely delivered. Third-party publishers are showing a nearly unprecedented level of support for a Nintendo console by porting both older games and brand new titles, as evidenced by Rise of the Tomb Raider, DayZ, Devil May Cry 5, Dragon's Dogma 2, Stellar Blade, Metaphor: ReFantazio, Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2, Lies of P, RuneScape: Dragonwilds, Lords of the Fallen II, Final Fantasy Resonance, Onimusha: Way of the Sword, and Kingdom Hearts IV.
Meanwhile, Nintendo is certainly not slowing down on its first-party output; yesterday's Nintendo Direct showed Fire Emblem: Fortune’s Weave, Splatoon Raiders, Nintendo Switch Sports Resort, Xenoblade Genesis, and the long-rumored The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time remake. Plus, FromSoftware's The Duskbloods is sure to bring more than a few fans of the Japanese studio to the Switch 2 console.
At the same time, investors have a point: there hasn't been a new 3D Super Mario game since 2017's Odyssey. It will be ten years next year. Nintendo is likely working on a new title, and it might launch in 2027, but investors wanted reassurance, and they didn't get it. Hence the stock drop.
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