65%
Probable
The M5, M5 Pro, and M5 Max MacBook Pro models are going to stay relevant for a longer period, as the M6, M6 Pro, and M6 Max range that was slated to arrive in 2026 could be pushed back until 2027. Similar to why Apple’s refreshed Mac Studio isn’t going to arrive in the first half of 2026, the ongoing DRAM shortage that’s also impacting NAND flash shipments will force potential buyers to hang onto their dollars for a longer period.
The base M6 MacBook Pro could launch earlier, given that it won’t share a redesign, mimicking a similar launch strategy as the M5 MacBook Pro
Previously, it was estimated that the M6 MacBook Pro series would launch in the fourth quarter of 2026, but in Mark Gurman’s latest ‘Power On’ newsletter, the technology giant is expected to face production issues caused by DRAM and NAND flash shortages, forcing it to potentially delay the launch.
Even though Apple has tried to streamline its component supply chain by relying on the same SSD chip used in iPhones and MacBooks, it apparently isn’t enough to avoid this hurdle. With macOS 27 said to be ready by fall, it will sport touchscreen accommodations for the pricier M6 Pro and M6 Max, indicating that non-polished software isn’t going to be the reason behind the launch delay.
Also, even with the arrival of the entire M6 MacBook Pro family, don’t expect Apple to completely discontinue the older M5 lineup, as these will continue to occupy a place in the product range, with the redesigned machines expected to be stamped with a significantly bigger price tag. We believe Apple is being cautious not to stop selling older models because the touchscreen, OLED upgrade, and fresh chassis will add to component costs.
Additionally, the DRAM and NAND flash shortage will exacerbate the situation, suggesting that despite Apple securing memory supply to force its competition to hunt for breadcrumbs, its efforts were inadequate in preventing a delay.
News Source: Bloomberg
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