The threats of chip tariffs have started to loom over the Taiwanese markets, and it seems like they are gearing up for rates that could be higher than close US trade partners.
Taiwan Anticipates Hefty Chip Tariffs Coming Their Way, But They Could Be Limited Towards Mature Nodes
The chip supply chain in Taiwan is indeed one of the biggest and most sophisticated ones out there, since the nation has been producing semiconductors for the world for several years now. The nation has been driving its economy with chip exports, and many of them go to America. However, given that the Trump administration is now planning to impose chip tariffs under Section 232, it has created massive uncertainty amongst Taiwanese suppliers like TSMC and MediaTek, and based on estimates, the tariff rates could go up to 20%, which would be devastating for the technology markets.
Based on the newly formed trade deals, the lowest tariff rates are to be 15%, which nations like Japan and the EU have managed to secure. However, these not only come up with gigantic "hundreds of billions" in investment but also open up to the US markets with 0% tariff rates, and with a nation as small as Taiwan, which is completely dependent on America for chip exports, agreeing to such terms is a difficult choice. With that, according to Taiwan Economic Daily, the government is pricing in a 20%-25% chip tariff rates being imposed by the US, which could have noticeable consequences.
The chip supply chain operates under consistent conditions, whether this includes long-term deals for cutting-edge nodes or setting terms for future processes. However, by factoring in tariff rates, firms like TSMC would need to revise contracts from the ground up, which would not only bring uncertainty, but the additional costs could be pushed down to consumer products. It is claimed that the Taiwan chip industry is geared up for additional costs, and with a 20% tariff rates, the pressure on the supply chain might not be as huge as estimated.
The US policy towards chip tariffs looks uncertain for now, but it is claimed that the administration could only target mature nodes to ensure that the US gains an edge with them, competing with China. More importantly, with TSMC's widespread investments into America in recent times, it remains clear that Taiwan is open to expanding its production capabilities into the US, which might give them a leverage in trade negotiations.
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