The memory industry is experiencing a massive 'supply shock', which has prompted manufacturers to stockpile inventory, entering a panic-buying phase.
Memory Shortages Are Expected to Continue Moving Into 2027, Prompting Suppliers to Stockpile Inventory
It appears that the DRAM segment has seen a significant increase in demand, driven by the massive data center buildout. Consequently, both suppliers and customers are rushing to stock up their inventory levels in preparation for the anticipated shortages. Based on a report by DigiTimes, manufacturers like ASUS and MSI have been "heavily buying in the spot market" for consumer memory, since the shortages are expected to continue up to 2027, which means that RAM prices are going to stay inflated for at least a year from now on. More importantly, several suppliers have halted providing quotations.
CSPs are moving aggressively to secure supply for RDIMM modules, while demand for HBM has reached new highs, driven by high demand for AI compute power. Interestingly, this trend is expected to continue for several quarters, which means that for the consumer PC market, this isn't great news at all. In a recent report, we delved into how ASUS expects the price of consumer products to rise if the DRAM shortages persist over the upcoming months, as inventory levels are claimed to last only a 'few weeks', given that DRAM supply constraints weren't anticipated at all.
It is important to note that one of the reasons why this shortage could last longer than expectations is that the DRAM industry had generally been in a 'downtrend' before the AI hype kicked in. As a result, major suppliers like Samsung and SK hynix have reduced their DRAM production capacities to maintain profitability. Now, with the sudden increase in demand, the supply chain is readjusting itself to meet the extra production capacity required, which has taken several months, at the very least.
For suppliers, the gigantic demand is indeed a huge bonus, but for the average consumer, it would be more accurate to say that the DRAM shortage is a 'nightmare', especially since it will affect the prices of associated consumer devices.
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