Intel Reports a Broad Miss on Its Q4 2022 Earnings Along With Horrendous Guidance for Q1 2023

Jan 26, 2023 at 04:21pm EST
Intel Earnings
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Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) has now announced its earnings for the fourth quarter of 2022, broadly missing consensus expectations regarding its top-line and bottom-line metrics.

Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) Earnings Release for the Fourth Quarter of 2022

For the three months that ended on the 31st of December 2022, Intel reported $14 billion in non-GAAP revenue. The number missed consensus expectations.

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Revenue
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
Q4 2021
19
Q3 2022
15
Q4 2022 Consensus
14
Q4 2022 Actual
14

(All figures are in billions of dollars)

Here is the performance of Intel's business segments in Q4 2022:

During Q4 2022, Mobileye recorded the highest growth, while Client Computing Group remained the laggard with a growth of -36 percent.

The chart below illustrates consensus expectations for Intel's business segments:

Consensus Segmental Revenue
Consensus Segmental Revenue
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Client Computing
7
Data Center and AI
4
Network and Edge
2

(All figures are in billions of dollars)

The following excerpt from the company's earnings release provides supplemental platform revenue information:

 

Finally, the company earned $0.10 in EPS (non-GAAP), missing consensus expectations.

EPS Comparison
EPS
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
Q4 2021
1
Q3 2022
0
Q4 2022 Guidance
0
Q4 2022 Consensus
0
Q4 2022 Actual
0

(All figures are in dollars)

Bear in mind that, against expectations of a negative GAAP EPS print of -$0.09, Intel has reported -$0.16 in GAAP earnings per share.

Intel has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.365 per share.

Here is Intel's guidance for the first quarter of 2023:

Investors have reacted negatively to Intel's latest earnings release, with the stock currently down over 7 percent in after-hours trading.

This is because the company missed the mark on Q4 2022 results and has provided a very soft guidance for Q1 2023.

Earnings Context

This time around, Intel will serve as a bellwether for the broader semiconductor sector as it is the first company in this grouping to report its earnings for the final quarter of 2022.

According to the research firm Gartner,  global PC shipments declined a whopping 28.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2022, constituting the largest decline since the research house began tracking shipments in the mid-1990s.

As such, analysts expect this weakness to persist through H1 2023. A fresh investment note from Citi – published this Tuesday – contained the following observation:

"There [is] more downside to consensus estimates given the PC and data center correction, in addition to market share loss."

The bank went on to state that while Intel may forecast a recovery in the second half of 2023, "we do not believe it will happen until 2024."

Meanwhile, Intel is in the process of closing its $5.4 billion acquisition of Tower Semiconductor, a move intended to expedite the company's foundry expansion.

About the author: Writing is my one incontrovertible passion. Over the past six years, he has authored over 2,200 distinct articles on financial and tech-related topics, spanning nearly 1 million words. And he has been a member of Wcctech mobile team since 2025. As an alumnus of the University of Toronto, Rotman Commerce Program, I bring nuance, in-depth knowledge, and a unique perspective to every topic that I cover. When I'm not writing, I'm traveling the world, exploring hidden confectionaries and restaurants as an aspiring food connoisseur.

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